Forward-looking flood risk analysis using CMIP6 climate projections — sizing infrastructure for the climate it will actually face in 2050 and 2100, not the climate of the last century.
Infrastructure designed using only historical rainfall data is designed for a climate that no longer exists. Extreme rainfall events have already intensified across many regions since 1950. Across the Middle East and GCC, flash flood frequency in arid catchments is projected to increase by 40% or more by 2050. Sea levels are rising. Storm intensities are increasing.
HYDRisk Climate Flood Risk & Resilience Assessments use CMIP6 — the latest generation of global climate model projections — to quantify how flood risk will change over the lifetime of a proposed project. Two scenarios are modelled: SSP2-4.5 (moderate emissions, likely trajectory) and SSP5-8.5 (high-end scenario, planning upper bound).
The results are presented alongside historical flood risk analysis — giving decision-makers a clear picture of current risk, near-term risk (2050), and long-term risk (2100) across all required return periods.
IFC Performance Standard PS1 and PS4 now explicitly require climate risk assessment for long-lived infrastructure projects. Equator Principles signatory banks require the same. HYDRisk Climate FRAs are structured to satisfy these requirements.
Understanding what this study delivers — and what happens without it — is the fastest way to evaluate whether your project needs it.
Every HYDRisk study produces a defined set of technical outputs — here is exactly what you receive.
Every tool we use is the same software trusted by government agencies, major engineering firms and regulatory bodies worldwide.
Methodology, data sources and regulatory requirements differ between geographies. HYDRisk delivers the right approach for every region.